Yesterday I published a piece on how social media predicted the election results in Alberta and last week I had a similar article regarding two byelections in British Columbia.
As was to be expected, media tripped over themselves to speak with me. My advanced insights into election results, Twitter and Facebook coupled with my modesty, were needed to help pundits make sense of this crazy world we live in.
Yes, everyone loved me. Well, almost everyone.
It seems CKNW’s own Legislative Bureau Chief, Sean “What do you mean (hic) it’s last call?!” Leslie was not impressed. In fact he Tweeted the following:
Yes, Mr. Leslie was suggesting that my awesomeness in predicting the recent Alberta, BC byelections and Mayoral races in Port Moody, Coquitlam and Port Coquitlam using social media stats is akin to luck or happenstance. Hence his suggestion that a broken clock is right twice a day.
So let’s look at that and compare the stats.
I have used social media to predict the order – not just who will win, but the ORDER the candidates will finish. I did this in five elections, held on three days involving nineteen Candidates for 100% accuracy.
Mr. Leslie’s “clock is right twice a day” method of success first off counts on the clock NOT being digital (@#$%’n Luddite) and not being a 24 hour type of clock (showing 11pm as opposed to 23:00hrs). Ok fine.
So, assuming Mr. Leslie’s old broken clock displays the time of 10:11:12 (10:11am and 12 seconds) this means that clock is correct twice a day or .0023% of the time (clock correct for 2 of the 86,000 seconds in a day).
I define success as 100% – Sean, as .0023%. I also define success as writing a blog piece while on a long conference call.
Now I ask you, who would you rather have as your latex salesman?